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LEH Potential Short

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Here is a potential short. LEH is hitting its resistance right now. The volume has come off and although the RSI is rising and the macd is still positive, it still looks like a alright set up. Keep an eye on this. If it breaks the resistance cover your short, but with the market so hot recently, it is due for a correction and this stock may as well correct with the overall market.



7 Responses to “LEH Potential Short”


By sega on January 3rd, 2007 at 7:51 pm

Hey brett,
you are right about LEH. I am short MER too. but I am a little confused on USG. what’s your take on it? I have some Jan 60 calls. is it going to be worthless? Would appreciate your opinion.

By Kelley MBA on January 3rd, 2007 at 11:14 pm

Risky, risky bet trying to short the brokers — the Street is bullish across the board for the DJIA and S&P to hit new highs end of 07: there is a direct correlation with the EPS profiles of investment firms/banks/asset management plays and the how the overall market does.

We like Goldman in the space and would buy anytime the stock trades UNDER 10x EPS or 2.5x book.

The LEH resistance you point out could defintely be called resistance, but you can also interpret that formation to be the handle of a 7 month cup: if LEH is indeed a “cup,” then the next move up would be up.

Time will tell on how the Street wants to adjust LEH’s P/E….

By Anonymous on January 4th, 2007 at 9:50 am

Hey sega….When I take a look at USG, I have some bad news. Looks like those calls are going to expire worthless. It looks like it should bounce off the 50 or at least trade 2 pts below it. I would prob sell the calls and take the loss but at least it wont be a 100% loss. I know its hard, becasue, what if you sell and then it goes to 60 something later in the month? Its unlikely to happen but i sure know the feeling.

By Johns on January 4th, 2007 at 4:42 pm

i know the feeling of expired options too well. i feel your pain. it hurts

By Sean Rasmussen on January 6th, 2007 at 9:11 pm

From a technical analysis point of view and only a quick glance, I’d be looking for a breakout upwards with the overall market. Being weary of the fact that it has tried its resistance level 3 times, it might just go through next time if the market carries it.
I’m not up to scratch on this stock, so there is absolutely no fundamental reasoning behind my statement.
Great site. I’ll be back for a look around soon.
Cheers

By Bubs on January 8th, 2007 at 9:34 pm

from a view of the chart I would also be looking to go long on a breakout of the line.

By Anonymous on January 9th, 2007 at 6:22 am

I agree that you should go long on a breakout. But when I posted the chart, it should be played as a bounce. And bounce it did

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