CSUH.OB – Screw Redbull, I’m drinking Celsius!
By fous on Jun 12, 2007
8 Responses to “CSUH.OB – Screw Redbull, I’m drinking Celsius!”
I’m with EK. Their balance sheet looks like sh1t which is partly why they are selling OTC. Someone might do well on a quick trade, but this isn’t an investment to me. All of the news stories I find are their own propaganda.
Total cash = 10.24k, yes k, not M
Total debt = 1.30M, yes M
Yes this is a risky trade, as our most of mine since i focus on the OTCBB markets. Though this isn’t an investment for me nor are any of my trades. I capitalize on short term movements in the stock market that are driven by speculation with 1-4 week holding periods, targeting gains of 20% or more.
-fous
100 million shares outstanding….$113 million market cap at close today of $1.13….on trailing reveneus of about $1 million…basically, this is an off the charts valuation that makes Jones Soda look like an absolute bargain….and Jones which has been cut in half sells for an astronomical 90 p/e but only 10x sales…vs CSUH’s 100x sales…i guess if the drink is going to be a huge seller then there is a story eventually to be had in this stock, but I would be interested at around 10x sales like JSDA…so that would be around 13 cents….
This is one of those stock market traps, people get enthralled by a story and a market opportunity and ignore the outrageous valuation…..a recipe for disaster…just ask those JSDA buyers up at 30 who were willing to pay a 180 p/e because Cramer spammed it.
Great piece on this stock. First, let me just say that everyone who posted comments about how risky this stock is, is right on the money, BUT… Sometimes there is room for really speculative stocks like this. I checked into the management (with speculation, buy the management) They have a couple execs with beverage experience, but most notably, one guy who sold a beverage company to Cadbury Schwepps, and one guy on their board who ran GNC… It is obvious they are shooting for distribution in GNC, if they don’t already have it, and then sell the company off. This stock might be a good place to park $500 (not a recommendation to you) and see what happens.
Quote from: jon4476 on June 15, 2007, 10:50:13 AM
Fous, what are your thoughts on the current technicals? A possible G-pattern coming?
CSUH made a very strong rebound on Fridays session up 18.6% on a decent amount of volume with a bullish candle which closed above the open of the previous -11% candle. Price closed rallied up near the gap point again near 1.38 so this may act as a resistance point with some consolidation before price moves back ahead of 1 .38. G-Pattern? anythings possible, but i think its unlikely that price will make a strong rally from 1.10 to above 1.78 in a short period of time. The 3 day sell-off put a big damper on the positive momentum of this stock. The real momentum moves have short term consolidations before a continuation, but not -40% retracements as we saw here with CSUH.OB. I think its more plausible that price will form some kind of chart pattern such as an ascending or symmetrical triangle. I still like the story here, But the volatility shook me out pretty fast as the bullish momentum got hammered.
Quote from: raginbull on June 17, 2007, 09:55:55 AM
i heard coke is making a similar product and pepsis later on at the faction a the cost of what csuh.ob is selling at. just a fyi
Where did you hear this at Raginbull I’d like to hear more about it if you have anymore info. This would definitely be bad for Celsius which is a very small company with its current fundamentals not looking so pretty. Especially before they have a chance to experience any real significant growth and take a piece of the market share before pepsi/coke came out with a competing product. It would probably be the end of CSUH as pepsi/cole would be backed by their huge industry leading distribution chains and powerful marketing campaigns(there calorie burning drinks would likely be endorsed by some slim sexy celebrity).
I wish i could get more CSUH.BB, but like always you find somethin god and your wallet aint ready I just bought today @ 1.31 and I’ll probably get more next week on thurs. and prob. pay 1.16 but we will see. COKE/NESTLE is being sued for bogus calorie burn claims for their drink ENVIGA ( a tea not a soda, yuch) and C2 flopped for COKE on taste (their i/2 calorie soda), and pepsi edge tastes awefull. im going to try celsius at my raley’s where i saw it yesterday on my way home hopefully i can afford more stock soon, ill bet pepsi buys it out or coke….
Just an update to this thread… I first found Celsius at our gym (LifeTime) and ever since the first one Ive been hooked. My bf & I make a point of getting one every time we are at the gym bc we feel so great after workouts. We searched to find the other flavors at the local store & are now somewhat happy to pay 6,99 for a four pack. Pricey, but worth it. Ive tried the Coke Enviga product & not nearly as satisfying in terms of flavor. CSUH is now at .08. I invested a nominal amount Im willing to lose, but Im betting this is going to payoff big with patience. LifeTime cant keep the Orange flavor stocked on the shelves and even though we’re normally cheapskates, we dont even bat at paying more for this one.
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Nice in-depth post. However, this one seems way too risky. There was a Forbes article a while back about this company that pretty much laughed off their findings about the drink.