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Stocks Near Long-Term Resistance

SPX

As the S&P 500 nears a long term trending resistance, weekly MA(50), and short term resistance, it may be time for bulls to take profits and shorts to pile in. The markets will have a very tough time breaking above 975 (basis the S&P). This rally is way overextended… I would like to see a pullback to the March lows.

This bear rally has been driven mostly by greed and impatience as cash heavy funds have been dumping low yielding treasuries to chase stocks. There is a TON of liquidity lying around right now, and most of it is denominated US dollars that have been rapidly losing value. Investors are eager to put their worthless dollars to work whether it is in equities or commodities, both of which have enjoyed big gains as the dollar has plummeted. The fundamentals like unemployment and foreclosures continue to deteriorate. The only bull case for equities right now is that inflation is starting to creep into the markets.

There is a lot of turmoil in the bond markets as the cost of borrowing increases. If this sell-off in treasuries is not contained, it will foil the Fed’s plan to artificially suppress mortgage rates and this whole web of debt will unfold.



27 Responses to “Stocks Near Long-Term Resistance”


By khalid on June 10th, 2009 at 9:40 am

Hi
Market surged too much in last 15 sessions and most of the stocks are in their long term resistance level, so what should one do at this juncture ?
khalid

By Noah on June 10th, 2009 at 8:53 pm

I disagree totally..The stock market and its indices are heading up. Don’t jump out of the bull market until you feel a downdraft, otherwise you miss out on a great BULL run..

Noah

By Tim Bourquin of TraderInterviews.com on June 19th, 2009 at 2:01 pm

Johns,

I wanted to talk with you about TraderInterviews.com when you have a minute. My apologies for reaching out in the comments – couldn’t find another way to contact you on the site.

Would you mind giving me a call or emailing me when you have a minute?

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By Trading Stock Market on June 29th, 2009 at 7:53 am

Fundamentals become good with good delay. It could take a year after reversal to push unemployment and other fundamental numbers into positive trend.

By tony_9 on July 14th, 2009 at 10:41 am

Hi, now days there are lots of websites are offering financial news and help, I know one among of them called easystockalerts. It allows you to get the news before it even appears on the web. It’s like having a Bloomberg terminal at your desk, but only better! No spam, just very useful, actionable investment ideas.

By softwareblogger on July 28th, 2009 at 8:39 am

The is a resistance around 972. Good for put option.

By alext on August 2nd, 2009 at 5:13 am

1000 is the resistance but that does not mean start shorting. I dont believe in trying to time the market, the outcome of that is usually not pretty. Let the market tell you what its doing and react accordingly. Taking into consideration that the market can very well respect the 1000 resistance level, start taking some profits and be cautious. But as others mention this rally can continue as a break through will bring in heavy bidding.

By Zlati on August 21st, 2009 at 8:31 pm

I’m a fundamental, not a technical, trader, but I do agree with you on some points here. The rally was driven largely by the financials. And you can’t even really call it a rally- its basically the market pricing out the financial armageddon that it priced in over the winter. Its like someone telling you “good news- we are not all going to die”. Not quite as nice as someone saying “good news- we will all get bloody rich!”.

So thats it simply put- I agree. We have gotten back to roughly 2003 levels, just prior to the massive surge that followed in 05 and 06. The question is, what will drive us higher this time around? At the time I don’t think there is anything, so at best we should be in a trading range for some time.

By Rodney Washburn on August 23rd, 2009 at 5:59 pm

Are you guys still active? I trade stocks using technical analysis also, and just found your site.

Rodney

By Johns Wu on September 8th, 2009 at 5:37 pm

Inflation may drive us higher

By Clarence on September 9th, 2009 at 12:51 pm

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By SP 500 Historical Charts on September 15th, 2009 at 3:30 am

S&P 500 Index historical charts since 1928 with trend lines:

http://bit.ly/SP500chart

By Rocky Alvarez on September 28th, 2009 at 12:00 pm

Inflation will be our biggest problem is a year or so. We can’t keep pumping money in to the system and expect prices to remain the same! Thanks for this great blog! I also have one at http://www.makingmoneyinvesting@blogspot.com Check it out if you have a chance! Thanks for sharing your knowledge!

By abhishek jaiminee on October 2nd, 2009 at 4:31 am

hi, in my opinion, S&P 500 is currently trading around 1060 points which is looking quite expensive. i am looking a big correction not in American market but all world market.

By Steve Abraham on October 20th, 2009 at 5:54 pm

Hey Johns !! you starting this thing up again?

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By stock blog on April 18th, 2010 at 2:36 am

stockcharts are my fav too,i love technical analysis but fundamentals should also be taken in mind before going for tech’s

By kircheis on May 10th, 2010 at 7:58 am

How do you think about the Chinese A market? Have you ever stuied it? I am Chinese,LIving in Mainland.

By Video Planet on May 19th, 2010 at 9:11 pm

I’m a fundamental, not a technical, trader, but I do agree with you on some points here. The rally was driven largely by the financials. And you can’t even really call it a rally- its basically the market pricing out the financial armageddon that it priced in over the winter. Its like someone telling you “good news- we are not all going to die”. Not quite as nice as someone saying “good news- we will all get bloody rich!”.
+1

By stock blog on June 17th, 2010 at 1:25 am

so do you think we will break this resistance , i think there will be some correction but market will move further afterwards and also we might see a down rally for gold ,,

By sweety on June 29th, 2010 at 2:42 am

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By Trading Graphs on July 21st, 2010 at 12:59 am

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